4th Grade

4a: 4-1, 4-2, 4-6, 4-7 Days 1 and 2 11:30-12:15
4b: 4-3, 4-4, 4-5 Days 3 and 4 11:30-12:15

Project M3: What Are Your Chances- Data Analysis and Probability

Big Mathematical Ideas:

• Represent probability with numbers between 0 and 1 to describe the likelihood of experimental events.
• Learn about experimental and theoretical probability and the Law of Large Numbers (the more trials you do, the more accurate your data is).
• Determine theoretical probability of events using ordered lists, tree diagrams and multiplication.
• Determine whether a game is fair or unfair using theoretical probability.
• Apply understanding of experimental and theoretical probability to create an unfair carnival game that appears to be fair at first glance.

Resources:

• Probability Games from Around the World: The following are probability games that are played in other parts of the world: Hubbub, Toma Todo, dreidel, Lu-Lu, and Igba-Ita. Choose one game to research, or find your own probability game from another culture. Give a brief history of the game (how/when/why it was developed), and explain how to play it. Create materials to play the game so you can play it with your classmates or friends.
• Students can learn to play the game of SKUNK HERE. To see an example of a game of SKUNK and to better understand how to play, click HERE. Explain how probability is used in the game of SKUNK by completing THIS doc. Online dice can be found HERE. Students can use Khan Academy to learn about a variety of probability concepts based on individual readiness and interest.